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Substantive Finance

March 29, 2012
by Patrick
Comments Off on When the Fed Will Tighten

When the Fed Will Tighten

A look at the current market leaders would usually reveal to the astute investor the probably direction of future Fed policy on rate decisions. The clear market leaders (aside from AAPL) are retail, bank, and housing stocks. The historic pattern … Continue reading

January 2, 2012
by Patrick
Comments Off on 2012 Long Shots

2012 Long Shots

Since returns are asymmetric, gains from unanticipated events is where a great deal of the alpha in this market resides. Here are my long shots for this year: 1. Mark Hurd leaves the struggling ORCL to replace John Chambers at … Continue reading

December 11, 2011
by Patrick
Comments Off on Reasons for the rally

Reasons for the rally

It looked like the train was coming off the rails on Thursday, only to resume full steam ahead on Friday. It’s easy to be skeptical: the negatives are well known and well articulated by most. Take the facts to understand … Continue reading

November 10, 2011
by Patrick
Comments Off on Rumors Swirling

Rumors Swirling

As of this writing at 2:15pm, it should be noted that the market is holding up rather well, especially considering the excessive amount of rumors that have circulated today. First, there was a rumor that France’s credit rating would be … Continue reading

September 25, 2011
by Patrick
Comments Off on Weekend Dope Sheets

Weekend Dope Sheets

We’re back at support. Normally, we buy close to support, but this time, the odds don’t favor many stocks. However, at the end of the video, I show the only sector that is worth a shot. It’s actually a classic, … Continue reading