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Substantive Finance

April 26, 2019
by Patrick
Comments Off on Processes for Professional Speculation

Processes for Professional Speculation

It’s a numbers game: your system should be good enough to have room for big wins, and cut many smaller losers/stop many break evens/ stop many small winners. The hardest part of professional speculation is waiting around for the big … Continue reading

July 30, 2018
by Patrick
Comments Off on Ode to Gold: $GLD

Ode to Gold: $GLD

no one knows what paradigm gold should trade from right now. know one that says im told: “pay up or trade us your labor for USD” and i hear from kris that the dollar will strengthen some how, rates soar … Continue reading

January 5, 2018
by Patrick
Comments Off on Mistakes Beginning Investors Must Avoid

Mistakes Beginning Investors Must Avoid

First time investors always make the same mistakes. If you can avoid these, you are a step ahead: • create unrealistic expectations for growth- you can expect to grow your investment at about 7% per year. That means with compunding, … Continue reading

September 2, 2016
by Patrick
Comments Off on Perspectives of Reality…

Perspectives of Reality…

I’ve never followed NFL football so the guys that make it to the news are all unfamilar to me. Like that guy that did corporal punishment to his son or the guy that knocked out his wife on an elevator, … Continue reading

August 5, 2016
by Patrick
Comments Off on SPX New ATH’s and Everyone’s Upset

SPX New ATH’s and Everyone’s Upset

Each day the S&P 500 makes new all time highs, and everywhere you look are smart people telling you how bad things are because of the Fed. Danielle DiMartino Booth, Ben Hunt of Epsilon Theory, Bill Gross and John Hussman … Continue reading